I was going to do an update yesterday (Tuesday) but our WiFi was being very tempermental and we only had good-enough service between 5-6:30pm... So It Goes.
So anyway... yesterday morning's forecast showed all of the tracks being a bit farther north than this mornings forecast, but according to NOAA it's not going to be much other than a big tropical wave going through here tomorrow. Whew!
Wednesday, August 13, 2008 - 8am - Invest 92L
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKThis will probably be a disappointment to the news weathermen as a potential storm always gets them excited... I'd rather be ho-hum calm :)
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED AUG 13 2008
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN DISORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...AND THE AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT MISSION SCHEDULED FOR TODAY HAS BEEN CANCELED. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO HAS DECREASED. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUED TO BE MONITORED AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
Our WiFi (from PolyPat Boatyard) is doing good right now so we are going to take advantage of this and then dinghy into Simpson Bay later to return our DVD's.
5PM UPDATE: The bad news is that the latest forecast has all of those pretty colored lines lower down and coming right over the top of us. The good news is that the National Hurricane Center continues to give it only a 20-50% chance that it will develop into a Tropical Depression by Friday afternoon. It is well past us by that time and only TD strength!
We'll keep an eye on it.