Pre-1996, it was a time of anticipation of the coming summer days with all of the fun stuff that it entails. But now, it is the mark of the first day of "H" season with its perennial question of "what's in store for us this summer?"
This year, we have the worry of impending windstorms but we also have joy of beginning a new chapter in our cruising life.
This morning I googled "2017 hurricane season" to see what has been predicted for this summer. Some of the results ranging from 5 to 45 days ago said that it would be higher than average. But the more recent articles of yesterday and today are saying lower... I'm going for lower :)
This one is from yesterday's AccuWeather - 2017 Atlantic hurricane forecast: Possible El Nino to limit development of storms. That sounds good.
Wunderground had a blog post I like from April 6th
The CSU team cited two main reasons why this may be a below-average hurricane season:
- A weak to moderate El Niño event is expected to develop by autumn
- The tropical Atlantic has cooled over the past month, and the far North Atlantic is currently colder than normal.
As always, the CSU team included this standard disclaimer: "Coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted."
Got to finish coffee #3 and start doing stuff...
Have a good one!